Abstract

Chromosomal anomalies (CA) are the most frequent fetal anomalies. To evaluate the diagnostic performance of a machine learning ensemble model based on the maternal serum metabolomic fingerprint of fetal aneuploidies during the second trimester . This is a case-control pilot study. Metabolomic profiles have been obtained on serum of 328 mothers (220 controls and 108 cases), using gas chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry. Eight machines learning and classification models were built and optimized. An ensemble model was built using a voting scheme. All samples were randomly divided into two sets. One was used as training set, the other one for diagnostic performance assessment. Ensemble machine learning model correctly classified all cases and controls. The accuracy was the same for trisomy 21 and 18; also, the other CA were correctly detected. Elaidic, stearic, linolenic, myristic, benzoic, citric and glyceric acid, mannose, 2-hydroxy butyrate, phenylalanine, proline, alanine and 3-methyl histidine were selected as the most relevant metabolites in class separation. The proposed model, based on the maternal serum metabolomic fingerprint of fetal aneuploidies during the second trimester, correctly identifies all the cases of chromosomal abnormalities. Overall, this preliminary analysis appeared suggestive of a metabolic environment conductive to increased oxidative stress and a disturbance in the fetal central nervous system development. Maternal serum metabolomics can be a promising tool in the screening of chromosomal defects. Moreover, metabolomics allows to extend our knowledge about biochemical alterations caused by aneuploidies and responsible for the observed phenotypes.

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