A mechanistic systems pharmacology modeling platform to investigate the effect of PD-L1 expression heterogeneity and dynamics on the efficacy of PD-1 and PD-L1 blocking antibodies in cancer

Abstract

Tumors have developed multitude of ways to evade immune response and suppress cytotoxic T cells. Programed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) and programed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) are immune checkpoints that when activated, rapidly inactivate the cytolytic activity of T cells. Expression heterogeneity of PD-L1 and the surface receptor dynamics of both PD-1 and PD-L1 may be important parameters in modulating the immune response. PD-L1 is expressed on both tumor and non-tumor immune cells and this differential expression reflects different aspects of anti-tumor immunity. Here, we developed a mechanistic computational model to investigate the role of PD-1 and PD-L1 dynamics in modulating the efficacy of PD-1 and PD-L1 blocking antibodies. Our model incorporates immunological synapse restricted interaction of PD-1 and PD-L1, basal parameters for receptor dynamics, and T cell interaction with tumor and non-tumor immune cells. Simulations predict the existence of a threshold in PD-1 expression above which there is no efficacy for both anti-PD-1 and anti-PD-L1. Model also predicts that anti-tumor response is more sensitive to PD-L1 expression on non-tumor immune cells than tumor cells. New combination strategies are suggested that may enhance efficacy in resistant cases such as combining anti-PD-1 with a low dose of anti-PD-L1 or with inhibitors of PD-L1 recycling and synthesis. Another combination strategy suggested by the model is the combination of anti-PD-1 and anti-PD-L1 with enhancers of PD-L1 degradation rate. Virtual patients are then generated to test specific biomarkers of response. Intriguing predictions that emerge from the virtual patient simulations are that PD-1 blocking antibody results in higher response rate than PD-L1 blockade and that PD-L1 expression density on non-tumor immune cells rather than tumor cells is a predictor of response.