Abstract
A mathematical model is developed which provides a basis for the extrapolation of technological performance figures-of-merit, and the resulting equation which describes the rate of technological progress has the form of a logistic curve. The model predictions are compared with historical development trends which have occurred for the development of transportation capability, for the otto cycle engine, and for the diesel engine. Methods are developed for estimating uncertainty levels associated with technological figure-of-merit projections, and the relationships between technological progress and market substitution are discussed.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
