Abstract

This paper is devoted to a direct martingale approach for Polya urn models asymptotic behaviour. A Polya process is said to be small when the ratio of its remplacement matrix eigenvalues is less than or equal to 1/2, otherwise it is called large. We find again some well-known results on the asymptotic behaviour for small and large urns processes. We also provide new almost sure properties for small urns processes.

Highlights

  • At the inital time n = 0, an urn is filled with α ≥ 0 red balls and β ≥ 0 white balls.at any time n ≥ 1 one ball is drawn randomly from the urn and its color observed.If it is red it is returned to the urn together with a additional red balls and b ≥ 0 white ones

  • This paper is devoted to a direct martingale approach for Pólya urn models asymptotic behaviour

  • We find again some well-known results on the asymptotic behaviour for small and large urn processes

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Summary

Introduction

At any time n ≥ 1 one ball is drawn randomly from the urn and its color observed. If it is red it is returned to the urn together with a additional red balls and b ≥ 0 white ones. We establish the almost sure convergence and the asymptotic normality for this martingale.

Traditional Pólya urn model
Gereralized Pólya urn model
Critically small urns
Proofs of the almost sure convergence results
Generalized urn model – large urns
Traditional urn model
Generalized urn model – small urns
Generalized urn model – critically small urns
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