A Machine Learning Framework for Condition-Based Maintenance of Marine Diesel Engines: A Case Study

Abstract

The development of artificial intelligence-based tools is having a big impact on industry. In this context, the maintenance operations of important assets and industrial resources are changing, both from a theoretical and a practical perspective. Namely, conventional maintenance reacts to faults and breakdowns as they occur or schedules the necessary inspections of systems and their parts at fixed times by using statistics on component failures, but this can be improved by a predictive maintenance based on the real component’s health status, which is inspected by appropriate sensors. In this way, maintenance time and costs are saved. Improvements can be achieved even in the marine industry, in which complex ship propulsion systems are produced for operation in many different scenarios. In more detail, data-driven models, through machine learning (ML) algorithms, generate the expected values of monitored variables for comparison with real measurements on the asset, for a diagnosis based on the difference between expectations and observations. The first step towards realization of predictive maintenance is choosing the ML algorithm. This selection is often not the consequence of an in-depth analysis of the different algorithms available in the literature. For that reason, here the authors propose a framework to support an initial implementation stage of predictive maintenance based on a benchmarking of the most suitable ML algorithms. The comparison is tested to predict failures of the oil circuit in a diesel marine engine as a case study. The algorithms are compared by considering not only the mean squared error between the algorithm predictions and the data, but also the response time, which is a crucial variable for maintenance. The results clearly indicate the framework well supports predictive maintenance and the prediction error and running time are appropriate variables to choose the most suitable ML algorithm for prediction. Moreover, the proposed framework can be used to test different algorithms, on the basis of more performance indexes, and to apply predictive maintenance to other engine components.