A machine learning approach combined with wavelet analysis for automatic detection of Pc5 geomagnetic pulsations observed at geostationary orbits

Abstract

Pc5 geomagnetic pulsations are ultra-low frequency (ULF) waves whose period lies within 150–600 s. Their detection is crucial for accurate space weather modelling, monitoring, and analysis. Identification of these pulsations using manual approaches is difficult and time-consuming because of the smaller magnitudes and the limited durations within which they occur. To overcome this challenge, we propose a robust Cascade Forward Neural Network (CFNN) model combined with the wavelet technique for automatically detecting Pc5 events from satellite datasets observed at geostationary orbits. The dataset used in this study is the magnetic field vector measurements retrieved from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-10 (GOES-10) from 2000 to 2009. Pc5 geomagnetic pulsations were extracted from the toroidal component of the field perturbation using a bandpass Butterworth filter. Continuous wavelet transform (CWT) analysis using the mother Morlet wavelet was utilized to validate the integrity of the extracted signal in the time–frequency domain. The extracted Pc5 signal was decomposed into details and approximations using Daubechies wavelet transform to separate the intelligible signal from the incoherent noise that left their trace on the magnetic field time series. The detail signal was subjected to denoising using the heuristic Stein Unbiased Risk Estimate (SURE) approach with soft thresholding to obtain the denoised Pc5 events. The denoised Pc5 events were utilized as the target in the machine learning whereas the inputs were obtained from 5-dimensional space transformation of the toroidal component of the time series. The developed algorithm performed well and demonstrated a detection accuracy of 80 % and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.13 nT indicating a high performance in detecting Pc5 events. For effective validation of the model, Pc5 events detected by our model were correlated with the Kp index and the amplitude of the Pc5 events observed at geostationary orbit. A good correlation was obtained in both cases, making our model a practical and preferred choice for Pc5 pulsation detection in contrast to conventional frequency analysis tools which take much time for signal processing on large data sets.