Abstract

This paper introduces the “Energy-Environmental Efficiency” concept of building a low-carbon dispatch model of wind-incorporated power systems from the perspective of environmental protection and low-carbon dispatch promotion based on the existing economic environmental dispatch. A rolling auto-regressive and moving-average model is adopted to forecast wind speeds for the next 24 h and reduce the disadvantages brought about to the power system dispatch by wind speed fluctuations. A fuzzy satisfaction-maximizing approach is employed to convert the multi-objective decision-making problem in the low-carbon dispatch model into a single nonlinear one. Particle swarm optimization with a simulated annealing algorithm hybrid is used for better solutions. Simulation results show that the energy-environmental efficiency concept benefits the optimization of the proposed power system dispatch, and the proposed low-carbon dispatch model is reasonable and practical.

Highlights

  • The global energy security and environment situation has become increasingly serious in recent years, leading to a mounting social appeal for environmental protection and sustainable development [1].One of the most promising nonpolluting renewable energy sources, wind power, has been given more consideration by policies because of its difference from conventional energy sources [2]

  • The energy-environmental efficiency concept is introduced into the optimal dispatch of wind-incorporated power systems, for which a low-carbon dispatch model considering unit commitment is built based on wind speed prediction

  • This paper introduces wind speed prediction technique and energy-environmental efficiency concept into the optimization dispatch problem of a wind-incorporated power system

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Summary

Introduction

The global energy security and environment situation has become increasingly serious in recent years, leading to a mounting social appeal for environmental protection and sustainable development [1]. The intermittent and unpredictable nature of wind power generation can influence generation schedule and frequency control For this reason, the main method currently used to deal with problems of grid-connected wind power generation is to integrate wind speed forecasting into dispatch operation. Auto-regressive and moving-average (ARMA), artificial neural network, Kalman filter algorithm, fuzzy logic, and wavelet analysis are the most commonly used methods in wind speed forecasting These methods mainly aim at very short-term forecasting, without considering the time sequence of wind speed data. The premise of large-scale wind power integration, optimization scheduling can effectively reduce CO2 emissions, promote low carbon for power production, and promote sustainable development in the power industry. The energy-environmental efficiency concept is introduced into the optimal dispatch of wind-incorporated power systems, for which a low-carbon dispatch model considering unit commitment is built based on wind speed prediction.

Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Time Series
Time Series Models
Parameter Estimation
Model Order Determination
Model Examination
Rolling Time Series Forecasting Method
Case Study of Wind Speed Forecasting
Wind Turbine Power Output Forecasting
Objective Function of Minimum Operational Cost
Objective Function of Optimum Energy-Environmental Efficiency
Basic PSO
SA Algorithm
PSO-SA Hybrid Algorithm
Fuzzy Processing of Low-Carbon Dispatch Model
Numerical Simulation
Objective
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
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