Abstract

This paper reexamines the relationship between inflation and residential property over a 30-year period. Using conventional OLS models and cointegration and causality models we examine regional markets in the United Kingdom. The OLS tests provide little evidence of a consistent and stable relationship, with large variations in the results between different regions. The cointegration results, and in particular those obtained using the Engle-Granger procedure, provide strong evidence to support the hypothesis that housing and inflation are cointegrated. Additionally, the causality results provide strong evidence to support the hypothesis that housing leads inflation.

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