Abstract

The strong resource constraints of edge-computing devices and the dynamic evolution of load characteristics put forward higher requirements for forecasting methods of active distribution networks. This paper proposes a lightweight adaptive ensemble learning method for local load forecasting and predictive control of active distribution networks based on edge computing in resource constrained scenarios. First, the adaptive sparse integration method is proposed to reduce the model scale. Then, the auto-encoder is introduced to downscale the model variables to further reduce computation time and storage overhead. An adaptive correction method is proposed to maintain the adaptability. Finally, a multi-timescale predictive control method for the edge side is established, which realizes the collaboration of local load forecasting and control. All cases can be deployed on an actual edge-computing device. Compared to other benchmark methods and the existing researches, the proposed method can minimize the model complexity without reducing the forecasting accuracy.

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