A lifetime economic research of universal HLA-B*58:01 genotyping or febuxostat initiation therapy in Chinese gout patients with mild to moderate chronic kidney disease.

Abstract

To evaluate Chinese long-term economic impact of universal human leukocyte antigen B (HLA-B)*58:01 genotyping-guided urate-lowering therapy or febuxostat initiation therapy for gout patients with mild to moderate chronic kidney disease (CKD) from perspective of healthcare system. A Markov model embedded in a decision tree was structured including four mutually exclusive health states (uncontrolled-on-therapy, controlled-on-therapy, uncontrolled-off-therapy, and death). Mainly based on Chinese real-world data, the incremental costs per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained were evaluated from three groups (universal HLA-B*58:01 testing strategy, and no genotyping prior to allopurinol or febuxostat initiation therapy) at 25-year time horizon. All costs were adjusted to 2021 levels based on Chinese Consumer Price Index and were discounted by 5% annually. One-way and probability sensitivity analysis were performed. Among these three groups, universal HLA-B*58:01 genotyping was the most cost-effective strategy in base-case analysis according to Chinese average willingness-to-pay threshold of $37 654.50 per QALY. The based incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $31784.55 per QALY, associated with 0.046 additional QALYs and $1463.81 increment costs per patient at a 25-year time horizon compared with no genotyping prior to allopurinol initiation strategy. Sensitivity analysis showed 64.3% robustness of these results. From Chinese perspective of healthcare system, HLA-B*58:01 genotyping strategy was cost-effective for gout patients with mild to moderate CKD in mainland China, especially in the most developed area, such as Beijing and Shanghai. Therefore, we suggest China's health authorities choose the genotyping strategy and make different recommendations according to the differences of local conditions.