A Large Group Emergency Decision-Making Method Based on Uncertain Linguistic Cloud Similarity Method

Abstract

In recent years, the consensus-reaching process of large group decision making has attracted much attention in the research society, especially in emergency environment area. However, the decision information is always limited and inaccurate. The trust relationship among decision makers has been proven to exert important impacts on group consensus. In this study, we proposed a novel uncertain linguistic cloud similarity method based on trust update and the opinion interaction mechanism. Firstly, we transformed the linguistic preferences into clouds and used cloud similarity to divide large-scale decision makers into several groups. Secondly, an improved PageRank algorithm based on the trust relationship was developed to calculate the weights of decision makers. A combined weighting method considering the similarity and group size was also presented to calculate the weights of groups. Thirdly, a trust updating mechanism based on cloud similarity, consensus level, and cooperation willingness was developed to speed up the consensus-reaching process, and an opinion interaction mechanism was constructed to measure the consensus level of decision makers. Finally, a numerical experiment effectively illustrated the feasibility of the proposed method. The proposed method was proven to maximally retain the randomness and fuzziness of the decision information during a consensus-reaching process with fast convergent speed and good practicality.