Abstract

Buffer operators can effectively weaken the impact disturbance of the system and restore the original appearance of the system. However, the buffer strength of the existing buffer operator is fixed, and the buffer strength cannot be adjusted. So the buffer effect for the system impact disturbance is not flexible enough, and the accuracy of the prediction model established is not high. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes weakened buffer operators with time-varying parameters, analyzes the properties of the newly constructed buffer operator, and proves the superiority of the new buffer operators theoretically. Finally, the new buffer operators proposed in this paper are applied to the prediction of the number of employees in China’s air transport industry and the unsafe events in China’s civil aviation. The results show that the proposed buffer operators are better than the existing buffer operators, which further verify the validity and practicability of the proposed buffer operators.

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