Abstract
ABSTRACTWe evaluate the performance of the LSI-R in assessing risk and need among 26,001 offenders released from Minnesota prisons between 2003 and 2011. Using multiple performance metrics, the results reveal the LSI-R incorrectly classified 41 percent of the offenders, and its area under the curve (AUC) was 0.628. Drawing on the extensive program evaluation research conducted on Minnesota prisoners over the last decade, we evaluated the LSI-R’s assessment of need by examining the relationship between LSI-R domain scores, participation in effective interventions, and recidivism outcomes. The findings provide, at best, moderate support for the LSI-R’s performance in assessing need. Interventions targeting the education/employment, alcohol/drug, and emotional/personal domains generally yielded better recidivism outcomes among offenders with higher scores in these domains.
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