A Hybrid Method for the Prediction of the Remaining Useful Life of Lithium-Ion Batteries With Accelerated Capacity Degradation

Abstract

A hybrid method for the prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) of Lithium-ion batteries considering error-correction is proposed in respect of capacity diving phenomenon in later capacity degradation. First, an improved empirical capacity degradation model is proposed based on our previous work, with the analytic expression further revised in this paper to enhance its fitting accuracy, parameter identifiability, and applicability to tracking algorithm. Unscented particle filter (UPF) algorithm is then implemented to obtain prognostic results with original error series. Next, to enhance the quality of original error data by reducing the local uncertainty, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) algorithm is utilized to reconstruct error series. The fundamental error evolution information is retained by selecting relatively highly correlated intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) of the decomposition results of original error series. Finally, after employing Gaussian process regression (GPR) algorithm, the prognostic error to correct the UPF-based prognostic result is obtained from the reconstructed error series. RUL prediction experiments for batteries with different working conditions have been conducted to verify the improved performance of the proposed model and the hybrid method, with mean absolute percentage errors of battery capacity degradation predicted less than 0.4%.