Abstract

The Inflation Reduction Act is set to transform how Medicare pays for prescription drugs, most notably by enabling Medicare to negotiate for the prices of certain high-cost medications. The pharmaceutical industry argues it will drastically reduce innovation, but a full analysis of its impacts on innovation requires considering not merely the number of new drugs produced but their clinical value. Several features of the negotiation process aim to minimize its impacts on innovation, particularly for drugs with high clinical value. The Biden Administration has also implemented several policies alongside the Inflation Reduction Act, such as the Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health and a National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative, that are designed to reward and promote clinically valuable innovation. Taken together, these policies should go a long way toward mitigating any negative impacts on new drug development and may even better promote the development of higher-value drugs.

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