Abstract

The objective of this study was to use high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) imaging to predict the presence of smear-positive active pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) in elderly (at least 65years of age) and non-elderly patients (18-65years of age). Patients with active pulmonary infections seen from November 2010 through December 2011 received HRCT chest imaging, sputum smears for acid-fast bacilli and sputum cultures for Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Smear-positive PTB was defined as at least one positive sputum smear and a positive culture for M. tuberculosis. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the HRCT predictors of smear-positive active PTB, and a prediction score was developed on the basis of receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Of 1,255 patients included, 139 were diagnosed with smear-positive active PTB. According to ROC curve analysis, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, false positive rates and false negative rates were 98.6%, 95.8%, 78.5%, 99.8%, 4.2% and 1.4%, respectively, for diagnosing smear-positive active PTB in elderly patients, and 100.0%, 96.9%, 76.5%, 100.0%, 3.1% and 0.0%, respectively, for non-elderly patients. HRCT can assist in the early diagnosis of the most infectious active PTB, thereby preventing transmission and minimizing unnecessary immediate respiratory isolation. • HRCT can assist in the early diagnosis of the infectious active PTB • HRCT imaging is useful to predict the presence of smear-positive active PTB • Predictions from the HRCT imaging are valid even before sputum smear or culture results.

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