A grey-based decision-making approach to the supplier selection problem in a steelmaking company

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PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to propose a supplier selection method using grey system theory for a steelmaking company in Libya.Design/methodology/approachIn order to tackle incompleteness and imprecision of human’s judgments, grey numbers were used. This work uses a grey-based approach to represent decision makers’ comparison judgments and extent analysis method to select the best supplier. Therefore, an example of a selection problem of a steelmaking company in Libya was used to illustrate the proposed approach.FindingsSupplier selection in a supply chain is a critical strategic decision for company’s success and has attracted much attention of both academic scholars and decision makers. The authors have found that the Grey model can play an important role in improving supplier selection strategy, especially when it is in a situation where complex sustainability environments (i.e. Libya) exist.Originality/valueNo literature has been found till date for selection of supplier using grey system theory in a steelmaking company in Libya. An attempt in this regard could enhance a decision-making technique for selecting the best suppliers for the selected case company.

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PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to propose a site selection method using grey system theory for a desalination plant in Libya.Design/methodology/approachIn order to tackle incompleteness and imprecision of human’s judgments, grey numbers were used. This work uses a grey-based approach to represent decision makers’ comparison judgments and extent analysis method to select the best site. Therefore, a real case study of a selection problem of a site selection of desalination plant in Libya was used to illustrate the proposed approach.FindingsSite selection in a desalination plant can be one of the most important decisions in planning a desalination project. The decision affects both the project cost and potentially the project schedule. Based on the results of grey model, a clear order of these sites and the degree of preference are obtained. This paper presents a way to improve a site selection by using a grey model, especially in a complex environment like Libya.Originality/valueTo the best knowledge of the authors, there is no literature for site selection using grey system theory in a desalination plant in Libya. This attempt may well enhance and facilitate the decision-making process of the best site in the country involved in this research.

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In order to optimise a supply chain, the effective management of suppliers plays a key role. Firms seeking competitive advantage are participating in cooperative supply chain arrangements, such as strategic partnerships, which combine their individual strengths and unique resources. Supplier selection is a multi-criteria decision making problem which includes both qualitative and quantitative factors. In the present scenario environmental criteria should also be given due importance, this further increases the challenge of supplier selection. Generally, decision makers' judgments are often uncertain and cannot be estimated by an exact numerical value. The grey systems theory is a powerful tool to deal with uncertain information. This paper presents a structured model for evaluation and selection of strategic supplier. Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) is applied to decision making in order to calculate the relative importance of the criteria. The COmplex PRoportional ASsessment of alternatives with grey relations (COPRAS-G) method is used for supplier evaluation and selection of strategic supplier. A case study is presented to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed model to select a strategic green supplier.

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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to study a novel grey possibility degree approach, which is combined with multi-attribute decision making (MADM) and applied MADM model for solving supplier selection problem under uncertainty information. Design/methodology/approach – The supplier selection problem is a typical MADM problem, in which information of a series of indexes should be aggregated. However, it is relatively easy for decision makers to define information in uncertainty, sometimes as a grey number, rather than a precise number. By transforming linguistic scale of rating supplier selection attributes into interval grey numbers, a novel grey MADM method is developed. Steps of proposed model were provided, and a novel grey possibility degree approach was proposed. Finally, a numerical example of supplier selection is utilized to demonstrate the proposed approach. Findings – The results show that the proposed approach could solve the uncertainty decision-making problem. A numerical example of supplier selection is utilized to demonstrate the proposed approach. The results show that the proposed method is useful to aggregate decision makers’ information so as to select the potential supplier. Practical implications – The approach constructed in the paper can be used to solving uncertainty decision-making problems that the certain value of the decision information could not collect while the interval value set could be defined. Obviously it can be utilized for other MADM problem. Originality/value – The paper succeeded in redefining interval grey number, constructing a novel interval grey number based MADM approach and providing the solution of the proposed approach. It is very useful to solving system forecasting problem and it contributed undoubtedly to improve grey decision-making models.

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Supplier evaluation and selection is an important issue in the supply chain management. Many different factors would have effect on the performance of suppliers, therefore supplier evaluation and selection is a typical multi-criteria decision making problem. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is an effective methodology of evaluating the relative efficiency of Decision Making Units (DMUs) with multiple inputs and outputs. DEA has been widely used in the supplier evaluation and selection problem. However, traditional literatures mostly concentrated on the supplier evaluation and selection without consideration of the decision maker's preference. In this paper, we propose a weight restricted DEA model for the supplier evaluation and selection problem in which two kinds of decision maker's preferences can be reflected by introducing different kinds of weight restrictions. Numerical example is provided to examine the validity and effectiveness of our proposed model. KEYWORD: data envelopment analysis; supplier evaluation; supplier selection; weight restriction

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On the background of global warming, energy shortages and environmental pollution, people pay more attention to the low-carbon economy.In this paper, the problem of green supplier selection based on low-carbon economy is studied.Concretely, an evaluation index system for green supplier selection under the low-carbon economy is presented, and then a multi-attribute decision model of green supplier selection is established based on the method of analytic hierarchy process (AHP).This model provides decision reference for the department of supply chain management.

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Purpose This paper explores the application of supervised machine learning (ML) classification models to address supplier performance analysis and risk profiling as a multi-class classification problem. The research highlights that current applications of machine learning in supplier selection primarily focus on binary classification problems, underscoring a significant gap in the literature. Design/methodology/approach This research paper opts for a structured approach to solve supplier selection and risk profiling using supervised machine learning multi-class classification models and prediction probabilities. The study involved a synthetic data set of 1,600 historical data points, creating a supplier selection framework that simulates current supply chain (SC) performance. The “Supplier Analysis and Selection ML Module” guided supplier selection recommendations based on ML analysis. Real-world variability is introduced through random seeds, impacting actual delivery dates, quantity delivered and quality performance. Supervised ML models, with hyperparameter tuning, enable multi-class classification of suppliers, considering past delivery performance and risk calculations. Findings The study demonstrates the effectiveness of the supervised ML-based approach in ensuring consistent supplier selection across multi-class classification problems. Beyond evaluating past delivery performance, it introduces a new dimension by predicting and assessing supplier risks through ML-generated prediction probabilities. This can enhance overall SC visibility and help organizations optimize strategies associated with risk mitigation, inventory management and customer service. Research limitations/implications The findings highlight the adaptability of ML-based methodologies in dynamic SC environments, providing a proactive means to identify and manage risks. These insights are vital for organizations aiming to bolster SC resilience, particularly amid uncertainties. Practical implications The practical implications of this study are significant for both commercial and humanitarian supply chain management (SCM). For commercial applications, the ML-based methodology allows businesses to make more informed supplier selection decisions, reducing risks and improving operational efficiency. In disaster and humanitarian SC contexts, the use of ML can improve preparedness and resource allocation, ensuring that critical supplies reach affected areas promptly. Social implications The study’s implications extend to disaster and humanitarian SCM, where timely and efficient delivery is critical for saving lives and alleviating suffering. ML tools can improve preparedness, resource allocation and coordination in these contexts, enhancing the resilience and responsiveness of humanitarian supply chains. Originality/value Unlike conventional methods focused on quality, cost and delivery performance aspects, the current study introduces supervised ML to identify and assess supplier risks through prediction probabilities for multi-class classification problems (delivery performance as late, on-time and ahead), offering a refined understanding of supplier selection in dynamic SC environments.

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