A graph-based method for identifying critical pipe failure combinations in water distribution networks

Abstract

ABSTRACT Water distribution networks (WDNs) are critical infrastructures prone to vulnerabilities which lead to failures. Identifying vulnerable components, especially multiple pipe failure combinations, is crucial for effective management and ensuring high reliability. Hydraulic simulations are commonly used for analysing the criticality of WDN, but are time-consuming and highly data-reliant, limiting the number of testable combinations. To address these limitations and constraints, a graph-based method is proposed to quantify the impact magnitude of multiple pipe failure scenarios on performance, enabling the identification of critical combinations. The proposed graph-based approach utilizes structural and topological characteristics of WDNs as well as spatial demand distribution to replicate hydraulic behaviour. The accuracy of the approach is assessed by testing it on three case studies with various pipe failure combinations, and the results are compared with hydraulic analyses. The results demonstrate a strong correlation (Spearman coefficient > 0.75) between graph-based ranking and state-of-the-art hydraulic-based ranking. Additionally, the method exhibits a significant computational gain factor of greater than 30 compared with the hydraulic-based method, rendering it valuable for actively exploring a wide range of critical pipe failure combinations and devising countermeasures. Furthermore, a hybrid-based method that integrates both the graph and hydraulic-based methods is proposed for enhanced accuracy and robust assessments.