Abstract

Process mining is often used by organisations to audit their business processes and improve their services and customer relations. Indeed, process execution (or event) logs constantly generated through various information systems can be employed to derive valuable insights about business operations. Compared to traditional process mining techniques such as Petri nets and the Business Process Model and Notation (BPMN), deep learning methods such as Recurrent Neural Networks, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) in particular, have proven to achieve a better performance in terms of accuracy and generalising ability when predicting next events in business processes. However, unlike the traditional network-based process mining techniques that can be used to visually present the entire discovered process, the existing deep learning-based methods for process mining lack a mechanism explaining how the predictions of next events are made. This study proposes a new approach to process mining by combining the benefits of the earlier, visually explainable graph-based methods and later, more accurate but unexplainable deep learning methods. According to the proposed approach, an LSTM model is employed first to find probabilities for each known event to appear in the process next. These probabilities are then used to generate a visually interpretable process model graph that represents the decision-making process of the LSTM model. The level of detail in this graph can be adjusted using a probability threshold, allowing to address a range of process mining tasks such as business process discovery and conformance checking. The advantages of the proposed approach over existing LSTM-based process mining methods in terms of both accuracy and explainability are demonstrated using real-world event logs.

Highlights

  • Many modern businesses realise that keeping up with the current growing and competing markets entails developing and utilising novel ways of managing business processes [1]

  • The present study proposes a graph-based approach to explaining the decision-making process of an Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model when generating a sequence of events representing a business process

  • PROPOSED APPROACH TO PROCESS MINING The proposed approach to process mining consists of two stages: building an accurate LSTM model for predicting business process event sequences based on event logs and generating a directly follows graph (DFG) explaining the decision-making process of the LSTM model when predicting business process event sequences

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Summary

Introduction

Many modern businesses realise that keeping up with the current growing and competing markets entails developing and utilising novel ways of managing business processes [1]. A process mining model is distinct from a manually drafted process model [2] due to its ability to provide an accurate accounting of what is happening in reality. It brings about transparency, delivers timely factual evidence and insights from transaction records. PROCESS MINING Process mining is concerned with the automatic extraction of process models from event logs so as to analyse how processes are being implemented in reality [13]. The information gained from process mining can be used to analyse and gauge the performance of an organisation, detect obstacles, predict run times, spot anomalies such as control flow deviations, discover roles and relationships, and improve the usage of resources [14]

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