Abstract

Modeling and simulation have been popularly used for system investigation and evaluation. With proper evaluation, distribution system operators can decide on a reasonable course of action for encouraging energy flexibility and make predictions on the recommended timing and magnitude of system updates under different scenarios. However, there is no efficient tool for system operators to quickly set up and perform simulations of alternative scenarios for system updates before planning their course of action, without much experience with programming or system modeling. This paper proposes an agent-based modeling framework for developing agent-based simulation models of business ecosystems that can be applied to multiple evaluation scenarios by simple configuration of agents and roles. There are two steps in this proposed framework: Step 1 – Interface and role interactions design and Step 2 – Agent architecture and connections design. In addition, the framework depends on a pre-step that covers mapping and architecture development of the business ecosystem to be modeled. The framework is demonstrated with a case study of an energy business ecosystem consisting of an electricity distribution grid with 137 connected domestic consumers. The case study shows that the proposed agent-based modeling framework supports the development of agent-based models for simulating energy business ecosystems. To verify the behavior of the developed agent-based simulation models, a verification procedure of the agent models is briefly discussed, which includes unit, integration, and system testing approaches similar to the ones used in software testing.

Highlights

  • The 2015 United Nations Paris Agreement on climate change has caused a need for an energy sector that relies more on renewable energy resources and less on conventional fossil fuels, such as oil, coal, and natural gas

  • 97% of the consumed energy for transportation was based on fossil fuels in Denmark 2017 (Basisfremskrivning, 2020), it is expected that the personal vehicle pool on the Danish roads will be comprised of 380,000 Electric Vehicles (EV) in 2030 (Basisfremskrivning, 2020)

  • The proposed framework consists of two steps: Step 1 considers interface and role interactions design while step 2 considers agent architecture and connections design

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Summary

Introduction

The 2015 United Nations Paris Agreement on climate change has caused a need for an energy sector that relies more on renewable energy resources and less on conventional fossil fuels, such as oil, coal, and natural gas. 97% of the consumed energy for transportation was based on fossil fuels in Denmark 2017 (Basisfremskrivning, 2020), it is expected that the personal vehicle pool on the Danish roads will be comprised of 380,000 Electric Vehicles (EV) in 2030 (Basisfremskrivning, 2020) This is expected to impact the electricity distribution system that supports the charging (Fatras et al, 2020), as personal transportation constituted the considerable share of 75.2% of the energy consumption within the Danish transport sector in 2019 (Data, tabeller, statistikker og kort Energistatistik, 2019). The Danish electricity system The Danish electricity infrastructure consists of a transmission grid (132–400 kV) owned, operated, and maintained by the state-owned transmission system operator (TSO), Energinet.dk, and numerous local distribution grids which connect electricity consumers and smaller producers at medium-voltages (60–10 kV) and low-voltages (400–230 V) These distribution grids are operated and maintained by DSOs, each of them being responsible for a specific and delimited region. Demand response is not fully developed in Denmark compared to Finland, France, and UK (Market models for aggregators, 2021)

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