Abstract

This article proposes a recursive Gaussian process regression with a joint optimization-based iterative learning control algorithm to estimate and predict disturbances and model uncertainties affecting a flight. The algorithm proactively compensates for the predicted disturbances, improving precision in aircraft trajectory tracking. Higher precision in trajectory tracking implies an improvement of the aircraft trajectory predictability and, therefore, of the air traffic management system efficiency. Airlines can also benefit from this higher predictability by reducing the number of alterations when following their designed trajectories, which entails a reduction of costs and emissions. The iterative learning control algorithm is divided into two steps: first, a recursive Gaussian process regression estimates and predicts perturbations and model errors with no need for prior knowledge about their dynamics and with low computational cost, and second, this information is used to update the control inputs so that the subsequent aircraft intending to fly the same planned trajectory will follow it with greater precision than the previous ones. This method is tested on a simulated commercial aircraft performing a continuous climb operation and compared to an iterative learning algorithm using a Kalman filter estimator in a similar scenario. The results show that the proposed approach provides 62 and 42% precision improvement in tracking the desired trajectory, as compared to the Kalman filter approach, in two experiments, where no prior knowledge of the unmodeled dynamics was available, also achieving it in less iterations.

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