Abstract

In this article, we propose fuzzy soft models for decision making in the haze pollution management. The main aims of this research are (i) to provide a haze warning system based on real-time atmospheric data and (ii) to identify the most hazardous location of the study area. PM10 is used as the severity index of the problem. The efficiency of the model is justified by the prediction accuracy ratio based on the real data from 1st January 2016 to 31st May 2016. The fuzzy soft theory is modified in order to make models more suitable for the problems. The results show that our fuzzy models improve the prediction accuracy ratio compared to the prediction based on PM10 density only. This work illustrates a fuzzy analysis that has the capability to simulate the unknown relations between a set of atmospheric and environmental parameters. The study area covers eight provinces in the northern region of Thailand, where the problem severely occurs every year during the dry season. Seven principle parameters are considered in the model, which are PM10 density, air pressure, relative humidity, wind speed, rainfall, temperature, and topography.

Highlights

  • Pollution problems are inevitably a global concern of the 21st century

  • A large amount of particulate matters are released into the atmosphere, including carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, volatile organic compounds, and carcinogenic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons [4]. e main emission source is biomass open burning, such as forest fires, solid waste burning, and agricultural residue field burning [5, 6]

  • E public health ministry of ailand has reported an increase in bronchial asthma and respiratory diseases in people living in these areas. These fine particles contain carcinogenic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons that can induce lung cancer [7]. e smoke haze episodes reduce visibility and cause a variety of environmental effects which eventually leads to decline in various economic sectors such as tourism, transportation, and agriculture. ai government has launched various policies to get the smoke haze problem under control

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Summary

Introduction

Pollution problems are inevitably a global concern of the 21st century. Over the past decade, polluted haze has become a major problem in the northern region of ailand and surrounded countries. Is situation has occurred every year on dry season, from January to May, and generally reached its peak in March During this period, a large amount of particulate matters are released into the atmosphere, including carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, volatile organic compounds, and carcinogenic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons [4]. E public health ministry of ailand has reported an increase in bronchial asthma and respiratory diseases in people living in these areas These fine particles contain carcinogenic polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons that can induce lung cancer [7]. The problem still continues to grow, even with the enforcement of outdoor burning ban issued by ai government during February to April period

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