Abstract

Abstract Uncertainty is an inherent feature in grid modernization planning decisions. The paper presents a decision analysis framework to integrate Smart Grid technologies and applications for the modernization of the Saudi electricity infrastructure. The analysis applies a fuzzy set theory accompanied by the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Imprecision in decision making – particularly those arising from human subjectivity in input – is explicitly modeled using fuzzy sets. This paper demonstrates the use of triangular fuzzy numbers to model uncertainty in planning decisions. The Saudi electricity infrastructure aims at meeting certain goals stated in the Saudi Vision 2030 and the National Transformation Program. We propose an algorithm for prioritizing candidate Smart Grid technologies for grid modernization. This is intended as a tool for charting a transitional modernization plan for policy makers and for meeting specific targets in the transformation program.

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