Abstract
It is difficult to predict the future rate of prison population growth, given that major policy changes are being contemplated. Artificial intelligence software can provide correctional planners with useful information. However, forecasting is an information tool that should not be misused as an excuse to drive decisions and legislation. Prisons should focus less on innovation and more on implementation. The central problem lies in the failure to commit to the long-term implementation of programs. Corrections has a political need to show that programs work, and achieving this goal requires increased accountability in the form of routine data collection, relevant outcome measures and evaluation criteria, and performance-based objectives. Prison systems in the future may find themselves with new responsibilities, such as Total Quality Management, among correctional management and offenders, as well as enhanced aftercare services with an emphasis on employment placement and retention of offenders.
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