Abstract

Over the past years, many approaches to perform asset allocation have been proposed in the literature. Most of them tackle this problem as an optimization task, where the goal is to maximize return, whilst minimizing the risk. However, such approaches require the inversion of a positive-definite covariance matrix, usually resulting in the concentration of allocation, instability and low performance. Some methods have been recently introduced to solve this problem by facing it as a clustering problem. This paper introduces a framework for asset allocation based on partitional clustering algorithms. The idea is to segment the assets into clusters of correlated assets, allocate resources for each cluster and then within each cluster. The framework allows the use of different partitional clustering algorithms, intragroup and intergroup allocation methods. Also, various assessment criteria are considered, and a specialized initialization method is proposed for the clustering algorithm. The framework is evaluated with the Brazilian Stock Exchange (B3) data from the period 12/2005 to 04/2020. Different initialization methods are used for the clustering algorithm together with two intergroup and two intragroup techniques, resulting in five experimental scenarios. The results are compared with the Ibovespa index, the mean-variance model of Markowitz, and the risk-parity model recently proposed by Lopez de Prado.

Highlights

  • The work of Markowitz [1] is precursor in introducing a mean variance model for portfolio selection, resulting in a model capable of increasing portfolio returns and reducing risks

  • Inspired by the idea of making portfolio allocations using clustering algorithms and considering different ways of structuring the portfolio allocation process, this paper proposes a framework of stock portfolio allocation using partitional clustering algorithms

  • RESEARCH In this paper we introduced a framework to perform asset allocation based on partitional clustering

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

The work of Markowitz [1] is precursor in introducing a mean variance model for portfolio selection, resulting in a model capable of increasing portfolio returns and reducing risks. As an alternative to optimization methods, portfolio allocation techniques known as risk parity have become popular, where allocations are made based on predicted risk without the need to incorporate expected future returns [7] In these methods it is still necessary to invert the positive definite covariance matrix that can lead to numerical errors and instability [4].

RELATED WORKS
THE ALLOCATION PROCESS FLOW
PREPROCESSING
CLUSTERING
PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT
Findings
CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH
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