A Foresight inRimbawanPerformance Level: Toward A More Controllable Forest Fires Area

Abstract

Rimbawan(foresters) is one of the human resources owned by the Ministry of Environment and Forestry. They need to enhance their performance in decreasing forest fire areas. It will affect future public health, economic development, ecological balance, social stability, and land aesthetics. Accordingly, scenario planning helps in contemplating how the future may develop and is especially important when needing to make sense of uncertainty in the forest sustainability management sector. Scenario planning can be narrative-based and represented quantitatively to ensureRimbawan’sperformance level. On the other hand, promoting a more controllable forest fire area has not been fully anticipated. Therefore, this study aims to help environmental policymakers by offering a discovery of basic data for forest fire precautions, forest firefighting, and post-forest fire handling. This study has conducted a descriptively quantitative method. The results suggest that the average forest fire area in South Sumatra Province based on their KPH from 2015-to 2019 is 30.71 percent of those 2,265,457.34 hectares of KPH. Whereas the 1 level of an increase in forest fire prevention activities will reduce the probability of forest fire insight into the upscaledRimbawan’sperformance level through conversation quality and engagement, learning, decision-making style, mental models, and leadership support.