Abstract
This procedure indicates the jet routes used, the mix of aircraft, trip length and number of passengers per flight. Route structures consistent with the growth of travel and its origin and destination distribution can be determined to assist airline planning and shed light on merger or route proposals that may come before the Civil Aeronautics Board. Any national totals can be obtained by simply aggregating over individual routes and airports. United States domestic passenger travel and commercial trunk airline traffic are discussed in this paper. In Section II, a function giving passenger demand for travel between cities is estimated with cross-sectional data. In Section III, a simple model of an airline is developed and its ability to predict flights in domestic city-pair markets is tested. In Section IV, these models are brought together to project passenger demand and airline service patterns. In the last section some rather surprising conclusions are presented.
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