Abstract

Simple SummaryWe report a local control prediction model for patients undergoing MRgFUS ablation, and provide promising guidance for clinicians to identify a suitable treatment strategy for bone metastatic lesions. We propose a few-shot learning approach to establish the quick prediction of clinical and radiographic responses. On the basis of demographic data, pre-/post-treatment immune-related cytokine change, and MRI imaging, the most suitable parameters were selected to assess potential treatment outcomes during the acute inflammatory stages within 24 h. Traditional logistic regression and few-shot learning models were compared to identify the best model on an independent test. The best predictive few-shot learning model (accuracy of 85.2%, sensitivity of 88.6%, and AUC of 0.95) was achieved by combining the clinical features with the levels of significant cytokines IL-6, IL-13, IP-10, and eotaxin.Magnetic resonance-guided focused ultrasound surgery (MRgFUS) constitutes a noninvasive treatment strategy to ablate deep-seated bone metastases. However, limited evidence suggests that, although cytokines are influenced by thermal necrosis, there is still no cytokine threshold for clinical responses. A prediction model to approximate the postablation immune status on the basis of circulating cytokine activation is thus needed. IL-6 and IP-10, which are proinflammatory cytokines, decreased significantly during the acute phase. Wound-healing cytokines such as VEGF and PDGF increased after ablation, but the increase was not statistically significant. In this phase, IL-6, IL-13, IP-10, and eotaxin expression levels diminished the ongoing inflammatory progression in the treated sites. These cytokine changes also correlated with the response rate of primary tumor control after acute periods. The few-shot learning algorithm was applied to test the correlation between cytokine levels and local control (p = 0.036). The best-fitted model included IL-6, IL-13, IP-10, and eotaxin as cytokine parameters from the few-shot selection, and had an accuracy of 85.2%, sensitivity of 88.6%, and AUC of 0.95. The acceptable usage of this model may help predict the acute-phase prognosis of a patient with painful bone metastasis who underwent local MRgFUS. The application of machine learning in bone metastasis is equivalent or better than the current logistic regression.

Highlights

  • Metastasis is a major complication that causes unrelieved pain and reduced quality of life in patients with cancer with advanced-stage malignancies [1,2]

  • Corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) of parameters were estimated from the genModels with an area under the curve (AUC) above 80% were included in the model comparison

  • The performance of classification models was determined by Akaike information criteria (AIC) and the area under the curve (AUC)

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Summary

Introduction

Metastasis is a major complication that causes unrelieved pain and reduced quality of life in patients with cancer with advanced-stage malignancies [1,2]. The bone is a major metastatic site in the various cancers such as breast, lung, and prostate cancers. The bone as the major metastatic site reflects high incidence rates, such as 65–75% in breast cancer, 65–75% in prostate cancer, and 30–40% in lung cancer, and the clinical significance of cancer recurrence [3,4]. A previous study reported that >50% of patients who had received palliative pain controls for their painful bone metastatic lesions experienced improvements in their prognosis and quality of life [7]. A suitable local control against bone metastatic lesions can significantly improve the prognosis and quality of life of patients in advanced stages

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