Abstract

Based on energy demand, consumers can be broadly categorized into low energy consumers (LECs) and high energy consumers (HECs). HECs use heavy load appliances, e.g., electric heaters and air conditioners, and LECs do not use heavy load appliances. Thus, HECs demand more energy compared to LECs. The usage of high energy consumption appliances by HECs leads to peak formation in various time intervals. Different pricing schemes, i.e., time of use (ToU), real time pricing (RTP), inclined block rate (IBR), and critical peak pricing (CPP), have been proposed previously. In ToU, an energy tariff is divided into three blocks, i.e., on-peak (high rates), off-peak (low rates), and mid-peak (between on-peak and off-peak rates) hours, and these rates are applied to all electricity users without distinction. The high energy demand by HECs causes the high peak formation; thus, higher rates should be applied to only HECs rather than all consumers, which is not the case in existing billing mechanisms. LECs are also charged higher rates in on-peak intervals and this billing mechanisms are unjustified. Thus, in this paper, a fair pricing scheme (FPS) based on power demand forecasting is developed to reduce extra bills of LECs. First, we developed a machine learning-based electricity load forecasting method, i.e., an extreme learning machine (ELM), in order to differentiate LECs and HECs. With the proposed FPS, electricity cost calculations for LECs and HECs are based on the actual energy consumption; thus, LECs do not subsidize HECs. Simulations were conducted for performance evaluation of our proposed FPS mechanism, and the results demonstrate LECs can reduce electricity cost up to 11.0075%, and HECs are charged relatively higher than previous pricing schemes as a penalty for their contribution to the on-peak formation. As a result, a fairer system is realized, and the total revenue of the utility company is assured.

Highlights

  • A report by the International Energy Agency stated that power demand is increasing daily due to an increasing number of electrical appliances, and a large portion (40 %) of the total demand is utilized in residential buildings [1]

  • Unlike a previous study [6], here, we first perform load forecasting to categorize homes as high energy consumers (HECs) or low energy consumers (LECs) by using extreme learning machine (ELM) and its forecasting results are compared with the forecasting results of convolution neural network (CNN) to prove its supremacy, as shown in Figures 5, 6 and 9

  • The fair pricing scheme (FPS) mechanism for LECs and HECs is developed based on the load forecasting

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

A report by the International Energy Agency (published in 2016) stated that power demand is increasing daily due to an increasing number of electrical appliances, and a large portion (40 %) of the total demand is utilized in residential buildings [1]. LECs are those consumers who consume too low energy, while the consumers with high energy consumption are called HECs and the consumers that they have load demand between LECs and HECs are called MECs. state-of-the-art studies have either failed to adequately incentivize LECs or just focused on DR programs. The high peak in any time interval is only generated by HECs; in the proposed FPS mechanism, they are proposed to pay higher costs during on-peak hours compared to LECs. Day-ahead load demand is required to distinguish LECs and HECs; this work extends our previous study [6] and develops an ELM-based day-ahead load forecasting model to predict the load demand of various consumers.

LITERATURE REVIEW
PROBLEM FORMULATION
FORECASTING MODEL
SIMULATION SETTING AND RESULTS
CONCLUSION
Full Text
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