A dynamic three-way conflict analysis model with adaptive thresholds

Abstract

Three-way conflict analysis model, based on information systems, is about trisecting, getting coalitions and decision-making. Since the model is proposed by Yao, many models have been proposed to enrich the field of three-way conflict analysis. In this paper, we propose a new three-way conflict analysis model. Our work can be divided into four parts. First, we define new fuzzy granules and an new approximation operator to obtain better trisections. Second, we introduce dynamic information systems which are generalizations of classical information systems. The new information systems enable us to induce trisections dynamically. Third, a new Bayesian algorithm is proposed for thresholds-computing which plays an important role in inducing trisections. In the classical Bayesian approach, there are six original parameters given subjectively. And in our algorithm, the parameters are replaced by three centers and a distance measure. Finally, our new model is applied to tourism planning in two cases, one can be presented by a dynamic information system and the other one can be presented by a dispersed information system generalized from dynamic information system.