Abstract
According to the characteristics of emergency decision-making in crisis management, this paper proposes a dynamic decision-making method using the hesitant probabilistic fuzzy set to deal with the inadequate information, uncertainty and dynamic trends. This method is suitable for emergency decision-making as it provides supports for the dynamic and evolutionary characteristics of emergency responses and the uncertain probability about external environment is also considered. In order to make a continuous adjustment with the development of situations, we give a definition of the expectation level, based on which the dynamic reference point method is proposed to obtain the optimal emergency response plan under the hesitant probabilistic fuzzy environment. We also analyze the probability of different situations that may occur in the process of emergency decision-making and provide an algorithm for solving this problem. Finally, a practical case of hazardous goods leakage pollution accident is given to illustrate our method, and then, the optimal decision alternative chain is obtained.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
