Abstract
Markov Chain is used for creating a dynamic model of the refugee crisis. we assume that refugees move dynamically between destinations with the transition probabilities which rely on the environmental factors. The model is applied to the current EU refugee crisis, and we obtain the dynamic process of refugee number varying with time in different member states. Then it indicates that the number of refugees in the member states will become a stable value after a certain period of time. 1 ( The influx of refugees with a large scale shows the characteristics of the geometric level of digital growth. ) 3 ( The model is established to describe the dynamic process of refugee flow under the conditions of the total number of refugees and the number of refugees to be received by the receiving countries being known. And then we determine the appropriate entry speed of refugees. First of all, we use the Markoff chain method, taking the current number of refugees in each country as a state. Then, the probability of the refugees from receiving country i transferring to
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