A Dynamic Fleet Model of U.S Light-Duty Vehicle Lightweighting and Associated Greenhouse Gas Emissions from 2016 to 2050.

  • Abstract
  • Literature Map
  • Similar Papers
Abstract
Translate article icon Translate Article Star icon
Take notes icon Take Notes

Substituting conventional materials with lightweight materials is an effective way to reduce the life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from light-duty vehicles. However, estimated GHG emission reductions of lightweighting depend on multiple factors including the vehicle powertrain technology and efficiency, lightweight material employed, and end-of-life material recovery. We developed a fleet-based life cycle model to estimate the GHG emission changes due to lightweighting the U.S. light-duty fleet from 2016 to 2050, using either high strength steel or aluminum as the lightweight material. Our model estimates that implementation of an aggressive lightweighting scenario using aluminum reduces 2016 through 2050 cumulative life cycle GHG emissions from the fleet by 2.9 Gt CO2 eq (5.6%), and annual emissions in 2050 by 11%. Lightweighting has the greatest GHG emission reduction potential when implemented in the near-term, with two times more reduction per kilometer traveled if implemented in 2016 rather than in 2030. Delaying implementation by 15 years sacrifices 72% (2.1 Gt CO2 eq) of the cumulative GHG emissionmitigation potential through 2050. Lightweighting is an effective solution that could provide important near-term GHG emission reductions especially during the next 10-20 years when the fleet is dominated by conventional powertrain vehicles.

Similar Papers
  • PDF Download Icon
  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 16
  • 10.3390/pr10112299
Life Cycle Energy Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Analysis of Primary and Recycled Aluminum in China
  • Nov 5, 2022
  • Processes
  • Tianduo Peng + 4 more

Aluminum production is a major energy consumer and important source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions globally. Estimation of the energy consumption and GHG emissions caused by aluminum production in China has attracted widespread attention because China produces more than half of the global aluminum. This paper conducted life cycle (LC) energy consumption and GHG emissions analysis of primary and recycled aluminum in China for the year 2020, considering the provincial differences on both the scale of self-generated electricity consumed in primary aluminum production and the generation source of grid electricity. Potentials for energy saving and GHG emissions reductions were also investigated. The results indicate that there are 157,207 MJ of primary fossil energy (PE) consumption and 15,947 kg CO2-eq of GHG emissions per ton of primary aluminum ingot production in China, with the LC GHG emissions as high as 1.5–3.5 times that of developed economies. The LC PE consumption and GHG emissions of recycled aluminum are very low, only 7.5% and 5.3% that of primary aluminum, respectively. Provincial-level results indicate that the LC PE and GHG emissions intensities of primary aluminum in the main production areas are generally higher while those of recycled aluminum are lower in the main production areas. LC PE consumption and GHG emissions can be significantly reduced by decreasing electricity consumption, self-generated electricity management, low-carbon grid electricity development, and industrial relocation. Based on this study, policy suggestions for China’s aluminum industry are proposed. Recycled aluminum industry development, restriction of self-generated electricity, low-carbon electricity utilization, and industrial relocation should be promoted as they are highly helpful for reducing the LC PE consumption and GHG emissions of the aluminum industry. In addition, it is recommended that the central government considers the differences among provinces when designing and implementing policies.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 21
  • 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.143717
Impacts of alternative fuel combustion in cement manufacturing: Life cycle greenhouse gas, biogenic carbon, and criteria air contaminant emissions
  • Sep 17, 2024
  • Journal of Cleaner Production
  • Vaidehi Pitre + 2 more

Impacts of alternative fuel combustion in cement manufacturing: Life cycle greenhouse gas, biogenic carbon, and criteria air contaminant emissions

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 40
  • 10.1016/j.biombioe.2010.11.035
Reducing life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of corn ethanol by integrating biomass to produce heat and power at ethanol plants
  • Dec 10, 2010
  • Biomass and Bioenergy
  • Nalladurai Kaliyan + 2 more

Reducing life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of corn ethanol by integrating biomass to produce heat and power at ethanol plants

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 21
  • 10.1016/j.resconrec.2024.107544
Greenhouse gas emissions benefits of the lightweight vehicle fleet in China: A dynamic fleet perspective
  • Mar 7, 2024
  • Resources, Conservation and Recycling
  • Bin Shui + 2 more

Greenhouse gas emissions benefits of the lightweight vehicle fleet in China: A dynamic fleet perspective

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 29
  • 10.1111/jiec.13146
Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of aluminum based on regional industrial transfer in China
  • May 11, 2021
  • Journal of Industrial Ecology
  • Ning Ding + 3 more

Aluminum production is a major energy consumer and source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The regional transfer of the primary aluminum (PA) industry, which mainly consists of the processes of electrolysis and aluminum ingot casting, is currently an important international trend in aluminum industrial development. However, the changes in GHG emissions from aluminum production for such transfers are unclear. This study has established a life cycle assessment model of aluminum industry based on regional transfers in the context of China, determined the GHG emissions of PA and secondary aluminum (SA) production, examined the GHG emission changes of PA production based on regional industry transfer between the years 2007 and 2017, and explored seven driving factors that affect GHG emissions in the aluminum industry. GHG emissions per unit PA and SA production in China decreased by 18.6% and 6.3%, respectively, but the total GHG emissions from aluminum industry still increased by 2.2 times between the years 2007 and 2017. The driving factor analysis showed that the major positive effects of GHG emissions from China's aluminum industry from 2007 to 2017 included the production scale effect of SA and the energy structure effect. Existing regional transfers (between the years 2007 and 2017) did not deliver significant annual GHG emissions reductions. Currently, Xinjiang, Henan, Shandong, and Inner Mongolia are the main PA production provinces in China, although regional transfers have been implemented. This study provides a basis for the improvement and sustainable development of the aluminum industry, suggests policies for regional aluminum development, and proposes a beneficial layout of the aluminum industry.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 13
  • 10.3390/su12145838
Design of Eco-Efficient Body Parts for Electric Vehicles Considering Life Cycle Environmental Information
  • Jul 20, 2020
  • Sustainability
  • Lars Reimer + 5 more

The reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions over the entire life cycle of vehicles has become part of the strategic objectives in automotive industry. In this regard, the design of future body parts should be carried out based on information of life cycle GHG emissions. The substitution of steel towards lightweight materials is a major trend, with the industry undergoing a fundamental shift towards the introduction of electric vehicles (EV). The present research aims to support the conceptual design of body parts with a combined perspective on mechanical performance and life cycle GHG emissions. Particular attention is paid to the fact that the GHG impact of EV in the use phase depends on vehicle-specific factors that may not be specified at the conceptual design stage of components, such as the market-specific electricity mix used for vehicle charging. A methodology is proposed that combines a simplified numerical design of concept alternatives and an analytic approach estimating life cycle GHG emissions. It is applied to a case study in body part design based on a set of principal geometries and load cases, a range of materials (aluminum, glass and carbon fiber reinforced plastics (GFRP, CFRP) as substitution to a steel reference) and different use stage scenarios of EV. A new engineering chart was developed, which helps design engineers to compare life cycle GHG emissions of lightweight material concepts to the reference. For body shells, the replacement of the steel reference with aluminum or GFRP shows reduced lifecycle GHG emissions for most use phase scenarios. This holds as well for structural parts being designed on torsional stiffness. For structural parts designed on tension/compression or bending stiffness CFRP designs show lowest lifecycle GHG emissions. In all cases, a high share of renewable electricity mix and a short lifetime pose the steel reference in favor. It is argued that a further elaboration of the approach could substantially increase transparency between design choices and life cycle GHG emissions.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 48
  • 10.1111/j.1530-9290.2012.00477.x
What Can Meta‐Analyses Tell Us About the Reliability of Life Cycle Assessment for Decision Support?
  • Apr 1, 2012
  • Journal of Industrial Ecology
  • Miguel Brandão + 2 more

The body of life cycle assessment (LCA) literature is vast and has grown over the last decade at a dauntingly rapid rate. Many LCAs have been published on the same or very similar technologies or products, in some cases leading to hundreds of publications. One result is the impression among decision makers that LCAs are inconclusive, owing to perceived and real variability in published estimates of life cycle impacts. Despite the extensive available literature and policy need formore conclusive assessments, only modest attempts have been made to synthesize previous research. A significant challenge to doing so are differences in characteristics of the considered technologies and inconsistencies in methodological choices (e.g., system boundaries, coproduct allocation, and impact assessment methods) among the studies that hamper easy comparisons and related decision support. An emerging trend is meta-analysis of a set of results from LCAs, which has the potential to clarify the impacts of a particular technology, process, product, or material and produce more robust and policy-relevant results. Meta-analysis in this context is defined here as an analysis of a set of published LCA results to estimate a single or multiple impacts for a single technology or a technology category, either in a statisticalmore » sense (e.g., following the practice in the biomedical sciences) or by quantitative adjustment of the underlying studies to make them more methodologically consistent. One example of the latter approach was published in Science by Farrell and colleagues (2006) clarifying the net energy and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of ethanol, in which adjustments included the addition of coproduct credit, the addition and subtraction of processes within the system boundary, and a reconciliation of differences in the definition of net energy metrics. Such adjustments therefore provide an even playing field on which all studies can be considered and at the same time specify the conditions of the playing field itself. Understanding the conditions under which a meta-analysis was conducted is important for proper interpretation of both the magnitude and variability in results. This special supplemental issue of the Journal of Industrial Ecology includes 12 high-quality metaanalyses and critical reviews of LCAs that advance understanding of the life cycle environmental impacts of different technologies, processes, products, and materials. Also published are three contributions on methodology and related discussions of the role of meta-analysis in LCA. The goal of this special supplemental issue is to contribute to the state of the science in LCA beyond the core practice of producing independent studies on specific products or technologies by highlighting the ability of meta-analysis of LCAs to advance understanding in areas of extensive existing literature. The inspiration for the issue came from a series of meta-analyses of life cycle GHG emissions from electricity generation technologies based on research from the LCA Harmonization Project of the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), a laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, which also provided financial support for this special supplemental issue. (See the editorial from this special supplemental issue [Lifset 2012], which introduces this supplemental issue and discusses the origins, funding, peer review, and other aspects.) The first article on reporting considerations for meta-analyses/critical reviews for LCA is from Heath and Mann (2012), who describe the methods used and experience gained in NREL's LCA Harmonization Project, which produced six of the studies in this special supplemental issue. Their harmonization approach adapts key features of systematic review to identify and screen published LCAs followed by a meta-analytical procedure to adjust published estimates to ones based on a consistent set of methods and assumptions to allow interstudy comparisons and conclusions to be made. In a second study on methods, Zumsteg and colleagues (2012) propose a checklist for a standardized technique to assist in conducting and reporting systematic reviews of LCAs, including meta-analysis, that is based on a framework used in evidence-based medicine. Widespread use of such a checklist would facilitate planning successful reviews, improve the ability to identify systematic reviews in literature searches, ease the ability to update content in future reviews, and allow more transparency of methods to ease peer review and more appropriately generalize findings. Finally, Zamagni and colleagues (2012) propose an approach, inspired by a meta-analysis, for categorizing main methodological topics, reconciling diverging methodological developments, and identifying future research directions in LCA. Their procedure involves the carrying out of a literature review on articles selected according to predefined criteria.« less

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 2
  • 10.1177/0734242x241306605
Pyrolysis of Dutch mixed plastic waste: Lifecycle GHG emissions and carbon recovery efficiency assessment
  • Dec 31, 2024
  • Waste Management & Research
  • Juraj Petrík + 3 more

Plastic production and consumption contribute to climate change and the depletion of non-renewable fossil resources, necessitating a shift towards a circular economy. This study explored the potential of pyrolysis as a novel approach to managing plastic waste and achieving plastic circularity in the Netherlands. Specifically, we focused on the pyrolysis of DKR-350, a low-quality mixed-plastic sorting residue. Using the life cycle assessment framework, we analysed DKR-350 pyrolysis, based on empirical data from pilot-scale trials, from two perspectives depending on the system’s primary function: waste management or naphtha production. We also considered the impacts of pyrolysis feedstock pre-treatment, including washing. Our findings demonstrated that pyrolysis of DKR-350, with lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of 876 kg CO2 eq. per 1000 kg pyrolysed unwashed DKR-350, can offer significant environmental benefits compared to incineration, resulting in a 28%–31% reduction in lifecycle GHG emissions. Sensitivity analysis showed the potential for achieving a 39%–65% reduction in GHG emissions by 2030, with lifecycle GHG emissions representing a mere 470 kg CO2 eq. per 1000 kg pyrolysed unwashed DKR-350 for the best sensitivity case. Lastly, we analysed the carbon recovery efficiency – a potential circularity indicator based on substance flow – resulting in 38%–55% of recovered carbon in pyrolysis oil, the system’s main product from a lifecycle perspective.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 127
  • 10.1115/1.4002194
Optimal Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle Design and Allocation for Minimum Life Cycle Cost, Petroleum Consumption, and Greenhouse Gas Emissions
  • Sep 1, 2010
  • Journal of Mechanical Design
  • Ching-Shin Norman Shiau + 5 more

Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) technology has the potential to reduce operating cost, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and petroleum consumption in the transportation sector. However, the net effects of PHEVs depend critically on vehicle design, battery technology, and charging frequency. To examine these implications, we develop an optimization model integrating vehicle physics simulation, battery degradation data, and U.S. driving data. The model identifies optimal vehicle designs and allocation of vehicles to drivers for minimum net life cycle cost, GHG emissions, and petroleum consumption under a range of scenarios. We compare conventional and hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) to PHEVs with equivalent size and performance (similar to a Toyota Prius) under urban driving conditions. We find that while PHEVs with large battery packs minimize petroleum consumption, a mix of PHEVs with packs sized for ∼25–50 miles of electric travel under the average U.S. grid mix (or ∼35–60 miles under decarbonized grid scenarios) produces the greatest reduction in life cycle GHG emissions. Life cycle cost and GHG emissions are minimized using high battery swing and replacing batteries as needed, rather than designing underutilized capacity into the vehicle with corresponding production, weight, and cost implications. At 2008 average U.S. energy prices, Li-ion battery pack costs must fall below $590/kW h at a 5% discount rate or below $410/kW h at a 10% rate for PHEVs to be cost competitive with HEVs. Carbon allowance prices offer little leverage for improving cost competitiveness of PHEVs. PHEV life cycle costs must fall to within a few percent of HEVs in order to offer a cost-effective approach to GHG reduction.

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 64
  • 10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.12.099
Life cycle assessment of primary energy demand and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of four propylene production pathways in China
  • Jan 14, 2016
  • Journal of Cleaner Production
  • Zhitong Zhao + 6 more

Life cycle assessment of primary energy demand and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of four propylene production pathways in China

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 16
  • 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.166543
Life cycle greenhouse gases emissions from high-speed rail in Spain: The case of the Madrid – Toledo line
  • Aug 23, 2023
  • Science of the Total Environment
  • Rafael Damián + 1 more

Life cycle greenhouse gases emissions from high-speed rail in Spain: The case of the Madrid – Toledo line

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 13
  • 10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.10.073
Introducing demand to supply ratio as a new metric for understanding life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from rainwater harvesting systems
  • Nov 6, 2015
  • Journal of Cleaner Production
  • Jay P Devkota + 3 more

Introducing demand to supply ratio as a new metric for understanding life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from rainwater harvesting systems

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 86
  • 10.1016/j.cherd.2017.12.018
Development and application of an electric vehicles life-cycle energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions analysis model
  • Dec 20, 2017
  • Chemical Engineering Research and Design
  • Tianduo Peng + 2 more

Development and application of an electric vehicles life-cycle energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions analysis model

  • Abstract
  • Cite Count Icon 5
  • 10.1016/s0140-6736(13)62529-5
Defining sustainable diets by comparing greenhouse gas emissions from different food groups: a systematic review
  • Nov 1, 2013
  • The Lancet
  • Kremlin Wickramasinghe + 3 more

Defining sustainable diets by comparing greenhouse gas emissions from different food groups: a systematic review

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 7
  • 10.1016/j.agsy.2021.103203
A framework for assessing the effects of shock events on livestock and environment in sub-Saharan Africa: The COVID-19 pandemic in Northern Kenya
  • Jun 21, 2021
  • Agricultural Systems
  • Michael W Graham + 5 more

A framework for assessing the effects of shock events on livestock and environment in sub-Saharan Africa: The COVID-19 pandemic in Northern Kenya

Save Icon
Up Arrow
Open/Close
  • Ask R Discovery Star icon
  • Chat PDF Star icon

AI summaries and top papers from 250M+ research sources.