Abstract
Bu arastirmada 1990-2007 donemi icin Sudan’da kullanilan para politikasi enstrumanlarinin - ornegin musaraka oranlarinin - bazi makroekonomik gostergeler uzerindeki etkileri incelenmektedir. VAR (Vector Autoregressive) temelli bir dinamik ekonometrik model araciyla yapilan tahminler, musaraka oranlariyla para arzi arasinda negatif, ancak istatistiksel olarak anlamli olmayan bir iliskinin oldugunu; daraltici para politikalarinin yerel parayi degerlendirdigine isaret etmektedir. Ote yandan para arzi ile musaraka oranlari arasinda Granger nedenselligi oldugu bulunmustur.
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