Abstract
An increase in seismic activity is usually a precursor of a strong earthquake. Grid models of earthquake formation related to the BTW sandpile model [Bak et al., 1987] reflect regularities close to those observed in reality; however, they demonstrate “incorrect” prognostic properties. Strong model earthquakes are preceded by a certain quiescence [Pepke and Carlson, 1994]. Weak dissipation of the BTW model is evidently responsible for its inversion scenario. We will construct a generalization of the BTW model with nontrivial dissipation. In the new model, a strong earthquake is preceded by an outburst of activity, which agrees with the dynamics of real seismicity. Strong events can be predicted with definite efficiency. The prediction efficiency is nonuniform in time.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
