Abstract
The demographic transition theory developed on the basis of the experiences of western nations posits that a nation moves from a high birthrate-high death rate to a low birthrate-low death rate situation. Fertility declined sharply during the depression period and rose as the economic conditions improved; the authors take time and the state space as continuous and work out a diffusion approximation of the fertility trajectory. By considering the total fertility rate which is age standardized the fluctuations arising from changing age distrubution are eliminated. This model is applied to Canadian fertility during the period 1921-76. The value predicted for 1980 by the model is 1826. To see how the draft coefficients change the log-normal approximation was performed for the periods 1941-60 1941-76 and 1961-76.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
