Abstract

Abstract. Vector quantities, e.g., vector winds, play an extremely important role in climate systems. The energy and water exchanges between different regions are strongly dominated by wind, which in turn shapes the regional climate. Thus, how well climate models can simulate vector fields directly affects model performance in reproducing the nature of a regional climate. This paper devises a new diagram, termed the vector field evaluation (VFE) diagram, which is a generalized Taylor diagram and able to provide a concise evaluation of model performance in simulating vector fields. The diagram can measure how well two vector fields match each other in terms of three statistical variables, i.e., the vector similarity coefficient, root mean square length (RMSL), and root mean square vector difference (RMSVD). Similar to the Taylor diagram, the VFE diagram is especially useful for evaluating climate models. The pattern similarity of two vector fields is measured by a vector similarity coefficient (VSC) that is defined by the arithmetic mean of the inner product of normalized vector pairs. Examples are provided, showing that VSC can identify how close one vector field resembles another. Note that VSC can only describe the pattern similarity, and it does not reflect the systematic difference in the mean vector length between two vector fields. To measure the vector length, RMSL is included in the diagram. The third variable, RMSVD, is used to identify the magnitude of the overall difference between two vector fields. Examples show that the VFE diagram can clearly illustrate the extent to which the overall RMSVD is attributed to the systematic difference in RMSL and how much is due to the poor pattern similarity.

Highlights

  • Vector quantities play a very important role in climate systems

  • We devised a vector field evaluation (VFE) diagram based on the geometric relationship between three scalar variables, i.e., the vector similarity coefficient (VSC), root mean square length (RMSL), and root mean square vector difference (RMSVD)

  • VSC is defined by the arithmetic mean of the inner product of normalized vector pairs to measure the pattern similarity between two vector fields

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Summary

Introduction

Vector quantities play a very important role in climate systems. It is well known that atmospheric circulation transfers mass, energy, and water vapor between different parts of the world, which is an extremely crucial factor for shaping regional climates. Z. Xu et al.: A diagram for evaluating multiple aspects of model-simulated vector fields and centered root mean square error (RMSE), do not apply to vector quantities. Previous studies have usually assessed model performance in reproducing a vector field by evaluating its x and y components with the Taylor diagram (e.g., Martin et al, 2011; Chaudhuri et al, 2013). Such an evaluation can help to examine the modeled vector field, it suffers from some deficiencies. Given these reasons and the importance of vector quantities in a climate system, we have developed a new diagram, termed the vector field evaluation (VFE) diagram, to measure multiple aspects of model performance in simulating vector fields.

Definition of vector similarity coefficient
Interpreting VSC
Interpreting VSC based on its equation
Interpreting VSC based on random generated samples
Application of VSC to 850 hPa vector winds
Construction of the VFE diagram
Evaluating vector winds simulated by multiple models
Tracking changes in model performance
Indicating the statistical significance of differences in model performance
Evaluating model skill
The impact of observational uncertainty on model evaluation
Discussion and conclusions
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