Abstract

African swine fever virus (ASFV) is the etiological agent of the devastating disease African swine fever (ASF), for which there is currently no licensed vaccine or treatment available. ASF is defined as one of the most serious animal diseases identified to date, due to its global spread in regions of Africa, Europe and Asia, causing massive economic losses. On the Italian island of Sardinia, the disease has been endemic since 1978, although the last control measures put in place achieved a significant reduction in ASF, and the virus has been absent from circulation since April 2019. Like many large DNA viruses, ASFV mutates at a relatively slow rate. However, the limited availability of whole-genome sequences from spatial-localized outbreaks makes it difficult to explore the small-scale genetic structure of these ASFV outbreaks. It is also unclear if the genetic variability within outbreaks can be captured in a handful of sequences, or if larger sequencing efforts can improve phylogenetic reconstruction and evolutionary or epidemiological inference. The aim of this study was to investigate the phylogenetic patterns of ASFV outbreaks between 1978 and 2018 in Sardinia, in order to characterize the epidemiological dynamics of the viral strains circulating in this Mediterranean island. To reach this goal, 58 new whole genomes of ASFV isolates were obtained, which represents the largest ASFV whole-genome sequencing effort to date. We provided a complete description of the genomic diversity of ASFV in terms of nucleotide mutations and small and large indels among the isolates collected during the outbreaks. The new sequences capture more than twice the genomic and phylogenetic diversity of all the previously published Sardinian sequences. The extra genomic diversity increases the resolution of the phylogenetic reconstruction, enabling us to dissect, for the first time, the genetic substructure of the outbreak. We found multiple ASFV subclusters within the phylogeny of the Sardinian epidemic, some of which coexisted in space and time.

Highlights

  • African swine fever (ASF) is a complex and highly lethal hemorrhagic disease that affects domestic pigs and different species of wild swine

  • Our study focuses for the first time on a closed epidemic system, applying phylodynamic methods to resolve the evolutionary history of African swine fever virus (ASFV) on the Mediterranean island of Sardinia from 71 whole-genome sequences

  • We analyzed 71 whole-genome sequences from ASFV isolates collected during a 40-year period of ASF endemicity in Sardinia

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Summary

Introduction

African swine fever (ASF) is a complex and highly lethal hemorrhagic disease that affects domestic pigs and different species of wild swine. Present in Africa and Europe, the disease has recently spread all over Asia and Oceania, given its average speed of propagation of 250 km/year in Europe [2] and even faster in Asia (550 km/year) [3]. The disease’s etiological agent, ASF virus (ASFV), is a large, enveloped, doublestranded DNA virus, the only member of the Asfarviridae family [6]. Variabilities in the genome size are predominantly due to differences in the copy number of five different multigene families (MGF), which seem to play a central role in the control of host defenses [8]. After the first case of virus incursion from Angola to Lisbon (1957), ASFV spread to other European, Caribbean and

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