Abstract

Nowadays, the banks are facing increasing business pressure in loan allocations, because more and more enterprises are applying for it and financial risk is becoming vaguer. To this end, it is expected to investigate effective autonomous loan allocation decision schemes that can provide guidance for banks. However, in many real-world scenarios, the credit status information of enterprises is unknown and needs to be inferred from business status. To handle such an issue, this paper proposes a two-stage loan allocation decision framework for enterprises with unknown credit status. And the proposal is named as TLAD-UC for short. For the first stage, the idea of deep machine learning is introduced to train a prediction model that can generate credit status prediction results for enterprises with unknown credit status. For the second stage, a dynamic planning model with both optimization objective and constraint conditions is established. Through such model, both the profit and risk of banks can be well described. Solving such a dynamic planning model via computer simulation programs, the optimal allocation schemes can be suggested.

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