A deep hybrid network for significant wave height estimation

Abstract

The influence of weather conditions on sea state, and in particular on the dynamic evolution of waves, is an important issue that affects several areas, including maritime traffic and the planning of coastal works. To collect relevant data, buoys are used to set up distributed sensor networks along coastal areas. However, unfavourable weather conditions can lead to downtime, which can be extended due to maintenance issues. The ability to improve the robustness of these sensor systems using predictive models, i.e. digital twins, to interpolate and extrapolate missing data is an important and growing area of research. To accomplish such a task, models must be found that can account for both the spatial and temporal dynamics of the input data to correctly estimate the variables of interest. In this work, a deep learning architecture is proposed to realize a digital twin for the monitoring buoy for significant wave height estimation using spatial and temporal information about the wind field in the area of interest. The proposed methodology was applied to a case study using wave height data from an Italian Sea Monitoring Network buoy installed near the coast of Sicily and wind field data from the Copernicus Climate Change Service ERA5 reanalysis. The reported results show that the use of a multi-block hybrid deep neural network consisting of convolutional layers for spatial feature extraction and short-term memory layers for modelling the involved dynamics, which takes into account the buoy surrounding area, outperforms other empirical, numerical, machine learning and deep learning methods used in the literature.