Abstract

There are many pressures on the global food system such as urbanization, climate change, and environmental degradation. Urban agriculture is an approach to producing food inside cities where, globally, more than half the worlds population live. It has been shown to have a range of potential benefits, for instance in reducing waste and logistics costs. Increased uptake of urban farming can even relieve pressure on the natural environment by reducing the burden of production required from farmland by creating space for it to recover from accumulated damage as a result of the use of unsustainable farming practices historically. This article describes an approach for a new type of decision support system suitable for urban farming production. We discuss differences between the requirements and the users of decision support in urban agriculture, and those of ordinary agribusiness enterprises. A case study is performed using a novel technology for urban farming: a cyber-physical implementation of aquaponics is enhanced with adaptive capabilities using a digital twin system and machine learning. Aquaponics is a farming technique that utilizes a harmonious nutrient exchange cycle for growing plants and fish together, while conserving water, and possibly without the need for soil or even sunlight. Empirical results are provided that evaluate the use of data driven decision analytics and a digital twin model to plan production from the aquaponic system during a three month trial. Another set of results evaluate a proposed modelling framework for large scale urban agriculture ecosystems. This concept forms the basis of the suggested approach for an urban farming decision support system that coordinates the activities of many independent producers to target collective goals.

Highlights

  • This paper presents a design for decision support of a novel farming methodology in which many different production units can be synchronized together to respond to consumer demand in a way that minimizes waste

  • In the result section we evaluate the efficacy of a model based digital twin approach, and a machine learning approach for performing predictive decision analytics to predict production from urban farming

  • We evaluate the ability of a modelling framework to generate meaningful insights about urban agriculture system design as a step towards a decision support system that uses an online simulation to coordinate many urban farms together in a food system that is enhanced with an Internet of Things infrastructure

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

This paper presents a design for decision support of a novel farming methodology in which many different production units can be synchronized together to respond to consumer demand in a way that minimizes waste. The system behaves differently depending on threshold levels of concentrations of nutrients and these in turn cause further changes in system dynamics in a feedback loop, see Section IV-B3 for further discussion Because it is a complex system, we identify simulation as well as data driven analytics, machine learning, in order to allow models of the system behaviour to dynamically adapt, and to optimize meeting farming system goals such production, waste efficiency, and quality criteria. The rest of the paper is structured as follows: section II describes background and related work; section 3 describes a planning and decision support system for coordinating multiple farms and planning agriculture initiatives at the city level; section 4 describes the cyber-physical aquaponic system that was developed; section 5 provides results and empirical analysis; and section 6 concludes the paper

BACKGROUND
DIGITAL TWIN FOR AQUAPONICS
ANALYTICS MODULES
EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS
CONCLUSION
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