A Data-Driven Approach to Identify Major Air Pollutants in Shanghai Port Area and Their Contributing Factors

Abstract

Air pollution is a growing concern in metropolitan areas worldwide, and Shanghai, as one of the world’s busiest ports, faces significant challenges in local air pollution control. Assessing the contribution of a specific port to air pollution is essential for effective environmental management and public health improvement, making the analysis of air pollution contributions at a selected port in Shanghai a pertinent research focus. This study aims to delve into the distribution patterns of atmospheric pollutants in port areas and their influencing factors, utilizing a data-driven approach to unveil the relationship between pollution sources and dispersion. Through a comparative analysis of pollution levels in the port’s interior, surrounding regions, and urban area concentrations, we ascertain that carbon monoxide (CO) and nitric oxide (NO) are the primary pollutants in the port, with concentrations significantly exceeding those of the surrounding areas and urban area levels. These two pollutants exhibit an hourly pattern, with lower levels during the day and higher concentrations at night. Employing a random forest model, this study quantitatively analyzes the contribution rates of different factors to pollutant concentrations. The results indicate that NO concentration is primarily influenced by operational intensity and wind speed, while CO concentration is mainly affected by meteorological factors. Further, an orthogonal experiment reveals that maintaining daily operational vehicle numbers within 5000 effectively controls NO pollution, especially at low wind speeds. Additionally, humidity and temperature exhibit similar trends in influencing NO and CO, with heightened pollution occurring within the range of 75% to 90% humidity and 6 °C to 10 °C temperature. Severe pollution accumulates under stagnant wind conditions with wind speeds below 0.2 m/s. The results help to explore the underlying mechanisms of port pollution further and use machine learning for early pollution prediction, aiding timely warnings and emission reduction strategy formulation.