Abstract

ABSTRACT A cybernetic model for the international tin market is developed to judge the usefulness of methods for stabilizing prices on international raw commodity markets. Both the supply and demand sides are characterized by large time delays. The buffer stock mechanism of the International Tin Agreement may be seen as a kind of controller for the tin market. This controller can smooth price fluctuations but never guarantee high prices. Since this fact was at least partially ignored, long-time feedback effects led to the collapse of the International Tin Agreement in 1985.

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