Abstract

BackgroundThere is no prognostic index for primary cutaneous T-cell lymphomas such as mycosis fungoides (MF) and Sezary syndrome (SS). MethodTwo prognostic indices were developed for early (IA–IIA) and late stage (IIB–IVB) disease based on multivariate data from 1502 patients. End-points included overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). External validation included 1221 patients. FindingsSignificant adverse prognostic factors at diagnosis consisted of male gender, age >60, plaques, folliculotropic disease and stage N1/Nx for early stage, and male gender, age >60, stages B1/B2, N2/3 and visceral involvement for late stage disease. Using these variables we constructed two separate models each defined using 3 distinct groups for early and late stage patients: 0–1 (low risk), 2 (intermediate risk), and 3–5 factors (high risk). 10year OS in the early stage model was 90.3% (low), 76.2% (intermediate) and 48.9% (high) and for the late stage model 53.2% (low), 19.8% (intermediate) and 15.0% (high). For the validation set significant differences in OS and PFS in early stage patients (both p<0.001) were also noted. In late stage patients, only OS differed between the groups (p=0.002). InterpretationThis proposed cutaneous lymphoma prognostic index provides a model for prediction of OS in early and late stage MF/SS enabling rational therapeutic choices and patient stratification in clinical trials.

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