Abstract

Extreme heat is a significant public health concern in India; extreme heat hazards are projected to increase in frequency and severity with climate change. Few of the factors driving population heat vulnerability are documented, though poverty is a presumed risk factor. To facilitate public health preparedness, an assessment of factors affecting vulnerability among slum dwellers was conducted in summer 2011 in Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India. Indicators of heat exposure, susceptibility to heat illness, and adaptive capacity, all of which feed into heat vulnerability, was assessed through a cross-sectional household survey using randomized multistage cluster sampling. Associations between heat-related morbidity and vulnerability factors were identified using multivariate logistic regression with generalized estimating equations to account for clustering effects. Age, preexisting medical conditions, work location, and access to health information and resources were associated with self-reported heat illness. Several of these variables were unique to this study. As sociodemographics, occupational heat exposure, and access to resources were shown to increase vulnerability, future interventions (e.g., health education) might target specific populations among Ahmedabad urban slum dwellers to reduce vulnerability to extreme heat. Surveillance and evaluations of future interventions may also be worthwhile.

Highlights

  • India is a rapidly developing country with many climate-sensitive health concerns [1]

  • Households had between 5–6 people and about half contained at least one young child and/or elderly person, though proportions varied by zone

  • Results on social connectedness did not show a consistent relationship in either univariate or multivariate analyses. In this sample of Ahmedabad slum dwellers, age, work location, preexisting medical conditions, drinking water sources, and information access were associated with vulnerability to heat as measured by self-reported heat illness symptoms and diagnoses

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Summary

Introduction

India is a rapidly developing country with many climate-sensitive health concerns [1]. The incidence of weather-related illness in India is not known, but historically heat illness has been a significant issue [2]. Temperatures are highest in the summer (March-May), averaging between 30–35 °C in most of the interior. Maxima reach 40 °C in many locations and exceed 45 °C in some north and north-west regions [3]. Climate change is expected to bring increasingly frequent and severe extreme heat events to the region [4]. Mean annual temperatures across India have been over historical normals (1961–1990)

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