A Cost-effectiveness Analysis of Adding Cetuximab to the First-line Treatment of Metastatic Colorectal Carcinoma in Iran; Considering Genetic Screening for Precision Medicine.

Abstract

This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of cetuximab in different genetic populations of metastatic colorectal carcinoma patients, including KRAS and RAS wild types and mutants, when added to FOLFIRI treatment regimens for evidence-based disease management in Iran. A Markov decision model was designed in TreeAge software with the three states of stable, progress, and death. Clinical outcomes were extracted from published clinical studies, and costs were extracted from the Iranian local data. The primary outcome was an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in the simulated population. The cost-utility model from the perspective of the health system indicated that the average direct medical costs of a patient that has not been genetically screened are $56,985.27 and $20,767.74 in FOLFIRI + cetuximab and FOLFIRI regimens, respectively. However, costs per patient in the KRAS wild-type population were $21,845.52 in FOLFIRI and $78,321.22 in FOLFIRI + cetuximab. In RAS wild-type patients, FOLFIRI and FOLFIRI + cetuximab costs per patient were $23,111.62 and $84,976.39, respectively. Incremental QALYs for the above scenarios were 0.069, 0.193, and 0.285, respectively. Therefore, the ICER of add-on cetuximab in Iran compared to the treatment alternatives in the scenarios with and without KRAS screening was $520,771.55/QALY, $292,768.16/QALY, and $217,460.51/QALY. Although genetic screening in precision medicine reduces costs per outcome, according to the willingness-to-pay threshold of $4349.50 in the Iranian health system, add-on cetuximab to the FOLFIRI regimen is not a cost-effective strategy even with genetic screening and a 20% price reduction.