A Cooperative Silicon Content Dynamic Prediction Method With Variable Time Delay Estimation in the Blast Furnace Ironmaking Process

Abstract

Online assessment of the molten iron quality of a blast furnace ironmaking process strongly depends on reliable measurement of silicon content (Si). This article proposes a novel cooperative strategy to train the data-driven prediction model and estimate variable time delay (VTD) values. First, a dynamic deep network that stacks denoising autoencoders (D-SDAE) with the ability to describe process nonlinearity and time-varying is designed for Si estimation. Then, time delay between the process variables and Si, which may disrupt the data distribution pattern (i.e., the real input-output relationship), is recovered in the modeling process. It is an overlooked data feature that occurs due to material transportation times, installation location and the analysis period of sampling equipment. The VTD values are considered to be the parameters of the D-SDAE model and obtained in the training process by the proposed double-scale collaborative search particle swarm optimization algorithm. The effectiveness of the proposed VTD-based D-SDAE model is validated in a numerical simulation and an industrial ironmaking plant, and a marked improvement in the prediction performance is achieved when VTD information is considered.