Abstract

BackgroundThe advances of systems biology have raised a large number of sophisticated mathematical models for describing the dynamic property of complex biological systems. One of the major steps in developing mathematical models is to estimate unknown parameters of the model based on experimentally measured quantities. However, experimental conditions limit the amount of data that is available for mathematical modelling. The number of unknown parameters in mathematical models may be larger than the number of observation data. The imbalance between the number of experimental data and number of unknown parameters makes reverse-engineering problems particularly challenging.ResultsTo address the issue of inadequate experimental data, we propose a continuous optimization approach for making reliable inference of model parameters. This approach first uses a spline interpolation to generate continuous functions of system dynamics as well as the first and second order derivatives of continuous functions. The expanded dataset is the basis to infer unknown model parameters using various continuous optimization criteria, including the error of simulation only, error of both simulation and the first derivative, or error of simulation as well as the first and second derivatives. We use three case studies to demonstrate the accuracy and reliability of the proposed new approach. Compared with the corresponding discrete criteria using experimental data at the measurement time points only, numerical results of the ERK kinase activation module show that the continuous absolute-error criteria using both function and high order derivatives generate estimates with better accuracy. This result is also supported by the second and third case studies for the G1/S transition network and the MAP kinase pathway, respectively. This suggests that the continuous absolute-error criteria lead to more accurate estimates than the corresponding discrete criteria. We also study the robustness property of these three models to examine the reliability of estimates. Simulation results show that the models with estimated parameters using continuous fitness functions have better robustness properties than those using the corresponding discrete fitness functions.ConclusionsThe inference studies and robustness analysis suggest that the proposed continuous optimization criteria are effective and robust for estimating unknown parameters in mathematical models.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/1471-2105-15-256) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Highlights

  • The advances of systems biology have raised a large number of sophisticated mathematical models for describing the dynamic property of complex biological systems

  • In the process of distributive catalysis, the activated MEKpp that binds to the substrate ERK, activates one of the sites and releases the intermediate mono-phosphorylated ERKp

  • A new collision between MEKpp and ERKp is required for the conversion of this intermediate into the dual-phosphorylated ERKpp

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Summary

Introduction

The advances of systems biology have raised a large number of sophisticated mathematical models for describing the dynamic property of complex biological systems. The imbalance between the number of experimental data and number of unknown parameters makes reverse-engineering problems challenging. Mathematical modelling plays an important role in identifying regulatory mechanisms of biochemical systems. These models have been applied successfully to study dynamic interactions among system components and simulate systems responses to external signals. One of the major challenges in mathematical modelling is the unknown model parameters that are estimated from experimentally measured quantities. The key issue is how to infer a large number of model parameters from a small number of experimental data [3] This reverse-engineering problem has been extended from parameter estimation to model selection [4,5]

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