A comprehensive wind speed prediction system based on intelligent optimized deep neural network and error analysis

Abstract

At present, wind power is one of the most promising clean energy sources. Due to its high variability, accurate wind speed forecasting is an essential part of the wind power industry. This paper proposes a comprehensive forecasting system consisting of three parts: Firstly, the novel SC-EWT wind speed signal reconstruction system proposed in this article can effectively extract information from wind speed signals. Secondly, the QBGA-GRU model is used for signal reconstruction prediction, where QBGA is an improved genetic algorithm proposed in this article that can improve prediction accuracy. Finally, the IPSO-BLS algorithm is used to quickly analyze and predict prediction errors and further correct the predicted results. The system can provide users with adaptive signal decomposition, high-precision deep learning prediction and error analysis functions to achieve efficient and fast short-term wind speed forecasting, which can be used in the fields of wind power integration deployment and wind turbine early warning. The experiments show that the proposed prediction strategy has good predictive ability for wind speed samples in two regions, and its error is smaller than that of commonly used intelligent algorithms. Compared with other models, the proposed comprehensive prediction strategy has better predictive performance and smaller prediction errors than other combination models.