A Comprehensive Model Outperformed the Single Radiomics Model in Noninvasively Predicting the HER2 Status in Patients with Breast Cancer

Abstract

This study aimed to develop predictive models based on conventional magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) and radiomics features for predicting human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status of breast cancer (BC) and compare their performance. A total of 287 patients with invasive BC in our hospital were retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent preoperative breast MRI consisting of fat-suppressed T2-weighted imaging, axial dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI, and diffusion-weighted imaging sequences. From these sequences, radiomics features were derived. Three distinct models were established utilizing cMRI features, radiomics features, and a comprehensive model that amalgamated both. The predictive capabilities of these models were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. The comparative performance was then determined through the DeLong test and net reclassification improvement (NRI). In a randomized split, the 287 patients with BC were allotted to either training (234; 46 HER2-zero, 107 HER2-low, 81 HER2-positive) or test (53; 8 HER2-zero, 27 HER2-low, 18 HER2-positive) at an 8:2 ratio. The mean area under the curve (AUCs) for cMRI, radiomics, and comprehensive models predicting HER2 status were 0.705, 0.819, and 0.859 in training set and 0.639, 0.797, and 0.842 in test set, respectively. DeLong's test indicated that the combined model's AUC surpassed the radiomics model significantly (p<0.05). NRI analysis verified superiority of the combined model over the radiomics for BC HER2 prediction (NRI 25.0) in the test set. The comprehensive model based on the combination of cMRI and radiomics features outperformed the single radiomics model in noninvasively predicting the three-tiered HER2 status in patients with BC.